StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
62%46%
BESTIA · 9 mapsedge BESTIA +16%Galorys · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%46%
BESTIA · 4 mapsnearly even +4%Galorys · 9 maps
AncientBESTIA ban
57%50%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +7%Galorys · 8 maps
OverpassGalorys pick
40%50%
BESTIA · 1 mapedge Galorys +10%Galorys · 10 maps
MirageGalorys ban
71%67%
BESTIA · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Galorys · 5 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
38%40%
BESTIA · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Galorys · 1 map
CacheGalorys ban
50%50%
BESTIA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
2. BanGalorys remove Cache
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickGalorys take Overpass
5. BanGalorys remove Mirage
6. BanBESTIA remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed12:16
BESTIA 54%Galorys 46%
The model gave 54% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Galorys.
Cacheprediction correct22:19
BESTIA 53%Galorys 47%
The model gave 53% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
BESTIA 65%Galorys 35%
The model gave 65% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 57%
Series resultBESTIA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3