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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
GenOne#55 in the world · loss 8:13
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 8:13
BC.Game#49 in the world · win 13:8
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
64%60%
GenOne · 40 mapsnearly even +4%BC.Game · 1 map
AncientBC.Game ban
57%50%
GenOne · 24 mapsedge GenOne +7%BC.Game · 0 maps
NukeBC.Game ban
55%50%
GenOne · 18 mapsedge GenOne +5%BC.Game · 4 maps
InfernoGenOne ban
50%71%
GenOne · 16 mapsedge BC.Game +21%BC.Game · 3 maps
AnubisBC.Game ban
75%40%
GenOne · 12 mapsedge GenOne +35%BC.Game · 1 map
CacheGenOne ban
40%75%
GenOne · 6 mapsedge BC.Game +35%BC.Game · 4 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
36%50%
GenOne · 7 mapsedge BC.Game +14%BC.Game · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGenOne remove Cache
2. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
3. BanGenOne remove Inferno
4. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanBC.Game remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (64% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
GenOne 55%BC.Game 45%
The model gave 55% on GenOne — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteBC.Game · 52%
Series resultBC.Game 8:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1