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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
DESEMPREGOloss 10:13
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 10:13
BRUTE#217 in the world · win 13:10
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DESEMPREGO ban
50%58%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +8%BRUTE · 15 maps
NukeDESEMPREGO ban
50%58%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +8%BRUTE · 8 maps
AnubisBRUTE ban
50%45%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge DESEMPREGO +5%BRUTE · 7 maps
CacheBRUTE ban
50%30%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge DESEMPREGO +20%BRUTE · 6 maps
MirageBRUTE ban
50%56%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +6%BRUTE · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BRUTE · 2 maps
InfernoDESEMPREGO ban
50%67%
DESEMPREGO · 0 mapsedge BRUTE +17%BRUTE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDESEMPREGO remove Inferno
2. BanBRUTE remove Cache
3. BanDESEMPREGO remove Nuke
4. BanBRUTE remove Anubis
5. BanDESEMPREGO remove Dust2
6. BanBRUTE remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed10:13
DESEMPREGO 70%BRUTE 30%
The model gave 70% on DESEMPREGO — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBRUTE · 76%
Series resultBRUTE 10:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1