PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 13:11series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 13:11
Betclic#41 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBetclic ban
60%50%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Betclic · 12 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
46%45%
Nemiga · 9 mapsnearly even +1%Betclic · 7 maps
AncientNemiga ban
29%78%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge Betclic +49%Betclic · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%50%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +17%Betclic · 10 maps
MirageNemiga ban
56%78%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Betclic +22%Betclic · 5 maps
CacheNemiga ban
50%56%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge Betclic +6%Betclic · 5 maps
OverpassBetclic ban
50%25%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +25%Betclic · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Ancient
2. BanBetclic remove Overpass
3. BanNemiga remove Mirage
4. BanBetclic remove Dust2
5. BanNemiga remove Cache
6. BanBetclic remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Nemiga 67%Betclic 33%
The model gave 67% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 60%
Series resultNemiga 13:11
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1