PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#40 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BC.Game#49 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFOKUS ban
42%56%
FOKUS · 8 mapsedge BC.Game +14%BC.Game · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%60%
FOKUS · 8 mapsedge BC.Game +10%BC.Game · 1 map
AncientBC.Game ban
50%50%
FOKUS · 8 mapsnearly even +0%BC.Game · 0 maps
CacheFOKUS pick
71%75%
FOKUS · 3 mapsnearly even -4%BC.Game · 4 maps
InfernoBC.Game pick
50%71%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge BC.Game +21%BC.Game · 3 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
43%75%
FOKUS · 3 mapsedge BC.Game +32%BC.Game · 4 maps
AnubisBC.Game ban
40%40%
FOKUS · 1 mapnearly even +0%BC.Game · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. BanBC.Game remove Ancient
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickBC.Game take Inferno
5. BanBC.Game remove Anubis
6. BanFOKUS remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct4:13
FOKUS 43%BC.Game 57%
The model gave 57% on BC.Game — the map was taken by BC.Game.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
FOKUS 18%BC.Game 82%
The model gave 82% on BC.Game — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Nukeprediction missed19:16
FOKUS 36%BC.Game 64%
The model gave 64% on BC.Game — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 54%
Series resultFOKUS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3