PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BET-M#83 in the world · win 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nice Tryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nice Try pick
38%60%
BET-M · 12 mapsedge Nice Try +22%Nice Try · 1 map
InfernoBET-M pick
57%50%
BET-M · 10 mapsedge BET-M +7%Nice Try · 0 maps
NukeNice Try ban
50%50%
BET-M · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Nice Try · 0 maps
MirageBET-M ban
45%50%
BET-M · 7 mapsedge Nice Try +5%Nice Try · 0 maps
AncientBET-M ban
20%50%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge Nice Try +30%Nice Try · 0 maps
AnubisNice Try ban
60%50%
BET-M · 6 mapsedge BET-M +10%Nice Try · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBET-M remove Ancient
2. BanNice Try remove Anubis
3. PickBET-M take Inferno
4. PickNice Try take Dust2
5. BanNice Try remove Nuke
6. BanBET-M remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
BET-M 42%Nice Try 58%
The model gave 58% on Nice Try — the map was taken by BET-M.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
BET-M 53%Nice Try 47%
The model gave 53% on BET-M — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteBET-M · 67%
Series resultBET-M 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2