PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BRUTE#217 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BRUTE pick
50%60%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 16 maps
NukeNemiga ban
55%58%
Nemiga · 7 mapsnearly even -3%BRUTE · 8 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
70%50%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +20%BRUTE · 8 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
33%50%
Nemiga · 11 mapsedge BRUTE +17%BRUTE · 0 maps
MirageBRUTE ban
56%56%
Nemiga · 5 mapsnearly even +0%BRUTE · 5 maps
CacheNemiga ban
50%36%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge Nemiga +14%BRUTE · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Cache
2. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickBRUTE take Dust2
5. BanBRUTE remove Mirage
6. BanNemiga remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
Nemiga 66%BRUTE 34%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Nemiga 37%BRUTE 63%
The model gave 63% on BRUTE — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
Nemiga 70%BRUTE 30%
The model gave 70% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 53%
Series resultNemiga 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3