BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageKeyd Stars pick
59%63%
Keyd Stars · 13 mapsnearly even -4%Imperial · 15 maps
NukeImperial pick
31%71%
Keyd Stars · 9 mapsedge Imperial +40%Imperial · 13 maps
AncientImperial ban
52%50%
Keyd Stars · 17 mapsnearly even +2%Imperial · 0 maps
Dust2Imperial ban
50%55%
Keyd Stars · 10 mapsedge Imperial +5%Imperial · 7 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
43%61%
Keyd Stars · 3 mapsedge Imperial +18%Imperial · 14 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%57%
Keyd Stars · 6 mapsnearly even +3%Imperial · 3 maps
CacheKeyd Stars ban
40%60%
Keyd Stars · 1 mapedge Imperial +20%Imperial · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickKeyd Stars take Mirage
4. PickImperial take Nuke
5. BanImperial remove Dust2
6. BanKeyd Stars remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (60% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct12:16
Keyd Stars 48%Imperial 52%
The model gave 52% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Keyd Stars 30%Imperial 70%
The model gave 70% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 73%
Series resultImperial 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2