Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ZEVSloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rooster#155 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultZEVS pick
50%33%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge ZEVS +17%Rooster · 2 maps
InfernoZEVS ban
50%60%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge Rooster +10%Rooster · 1 map
NukeRooster ban
60%50%
ZEVS · 1 mapedge ZEVS +10%Rooster · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZEVS remove Inferno
2. BanRooster remove Nuke
3. PickZEVS take Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
ZEVS 63%Rooster 37%
The model gave 63% on ZEVS — the map was taken by ZEVS.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
ZEVS 37%Rooster 63%
The model gave 63% on Rooster — the map was taken by Rooster.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
ZEVS 50%Rooster 50%
The model gave 50% on ZEVS — the map was taken by Rooster.
Model check result
Model favoriteRooster · 63%
Series resultRooster 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3