Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeWalczaki pick
54%46%
Walczaki · 24 mapsedge Walczaki +8%Bebop · 9 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
43%73%
Walczaki · 17 mapsedge Bebop +30%Bebop · 11 maps
MirageBebop pick
69%53%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge Walczaki +16%Bebop · 13 maps
AncientBebop ban
65%29%
Walczaki · 16 mapsedge Walczaki +36%Bebop · 3 maps
AnubisBebop ban
61%38%
Walczaki · 14 mapsedge Walczaki +23%Bebop · 4 maps
InfernoWalczaki ban
53%63%
Walczaki · 13 mapsedge Bebop +10%Bebop · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%36%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +21%Bebop · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickWalczaki take Nuke
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Anubis
6. BanWalczaki remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (57% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Walczaki 64%Bebop 36%
The model gave 64% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
Walczaki 75%Bebop 25%
The model gave 75% on Walczaki — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteWalczaki · 80%
Series resultWalczaki 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2