CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#94 in the world · win 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EAC#76 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
42%38%
Sashi · 8 mapsnearly even +4%EAC · 12 maps
AncientSashi ban
50%43%
Sashi · 4 mapsedge Sashi +7%EAC · 10 maps
Dust2EAC ban
31%40%
Sashi · 9 mapsedge EAC +9%EAC · 1 map
OverpassEAC pick
67%50%
Sashi · 2 mapsedge Sashi +17%EAC · 8 maps
MirageSashi ban
50%46%
Sashi · 0 mapsnearly even +4%EAC · 9 maps
InfernoSashi pick
75%29%
Sashi · 4 mapsedge Sashi +46%EAC · 3 maps
AnubisEAC ban
60%57%
Sashi · 1 mapnearly even +3%EAC · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanEAC remove Dust2
3. PickSashi take Inferno
4. PickEAC take Overpass
5. BanEAC remove Anubis
6. BanSashi remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (42% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Sashi 50%EAC 50%
The model gave 50% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Sashi 47%EAC 53%
The model gave 53% on EAC — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 53%
Series resultSashi 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2