CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2NEW VISION ban
63%38%
SPARTA · 31 mapedge SPARTA +25%NEW VISION · 9 maps
AncientNEW VISION pick
35%42%
SPARTA · 19 mapsedge NEW VISION +7%NEW VISION · 15 maps
MirageSPARTA pick
52%40%
SPARTA · 19 mapsedge SPARTA +12%NEW VISION · 6 maps
NukeSPARTA ban
45%45%
SPARTA · 16 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
47%50%
SPARTA · 11 mapsnearly even -3%NEW VISION · 6 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%43%
SPARTA · 3 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 10 maps
OverpassNEW VISION ban
40%50%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge NEW VISION +10%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
3. PickSPARTA take Mirage
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (47% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
SPARTA 75%NEW VISION 25%
The model gave 75% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
SPARTA 39%NEW VISION 61%
The model gave 61% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 68%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2