CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#124 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
45%50%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 18 maps
Nukeex-RUSTEC ban
50%44%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge Noir Verse +6%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
AnubisNoir Verse pick
50%53%
Noir Verse · 4 mapsnearly even -3%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
MirageNoir Verse ban
60%73%
Noir Verse · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +13%ex-RUSTEC · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
43%50%
Noir Verse · 3 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 6 maps
InfernoNoir Verse ban
40%45%
Noir Verse · 1 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 7 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
45%50%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Inferno
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickNoir Verse take Anubis
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Nuke
6. BanNoir Verse remove Mirage
DeciderCache (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed16:13
Noir Verse 46%ex-RUSTEC 54%
The model gave 54% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Noir Verse 47%ex-RUSTEC 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
Noir Verse 47%ex-RUSTEC 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 55%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3