?
Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO1
result vs prediction
ZEVSwin 13:11
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 13:11
BMZ#121 in the world · loss 11:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientZEVS ban
50%50%
ZEVS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BMZ · 2 maps
Dust2ZEVS ban
50%50%
ZEVS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BMZ · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
ZEVS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BMZ · 2 maps
DefaultBMZ ban
50%40%
ZEVS · 0 mapsedge ZEVS +10%BMZ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanZEVS remove Ancient
2. BanBMZ remove Default
3. BanZEVS remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
ZEVS 50%BMZ 50%
The model gave 50% on ZEVS — the map was taken by ZEVS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBMZ · 65%
Series resultZEVS 13:11
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1