CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#71 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Clutchain fe#253 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientClutchain fe ban
60%50%
ASTRAL · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +10%Clutchain fe · 0 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
60%50%
ASTRAL · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +10%Clutchain fe · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
2. BanClutchain fe remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:4
ASTRAL 47%Clutchain fe 53%
The model gave 53% on Clutchain fe — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
ASTRAL 63%Clutchain fe 37%
The model gave 63% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 70%
Series resultASTRAL 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2