FISSURE Playground 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#28 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM#16 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeMIBR pick
62%40%
MIBR · 9 mapsedge MIBR +22%BETBOOM · 6 maps
AncientBETBOOM pick
36%70%
MIBR · 7 mapsedge BETBOOM +34%BETBOOM · 6 maps
MirageMIBR ban
58%63%
MIBR · 8 mapsedge BETBOOM +5%BETBOOM · 4 maps
InfernoBETBOOM ban
64%50%
MIBR · 7 mapsedge MIBR +14%BETBOOM · 0 maps
CacheBETBOOM ban
63%50%
MIBR · 4 mapsedge MIBR +13%BETBOOM · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%43%
MIBR · 1 mapedge MIBR +17%BETBOOM · 3 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
50%50%
MIBR · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BETBOOM · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Dust2
2. BanBETBOOM remove Inferno
3. PickMIBR take Nuke
4. PickBETBOOM take Ancient
5. BanBETBOOM remove Cache
6. BanMIBR remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (60% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
MIBR 49%BETBOOM 51%
The model gave 51% on BETBOOM — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
MIBR 64%BETBOOM 36%
The model gave 64% on MIBR — the map was taken by BETBOOM.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2