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Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
JiJieHao#29 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Wings of Freedomloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Wings of Freedom ban
60%50%
JiJieHao · 1 mapedge JiJieHao +10%Wings of Freedom · 0 maps
NukeJiJieHao ban
50%60%
JiJieHao · 0 mapsedge Wings of Freedom +10%Wings of Freedom · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJiJieHao remove Nuke
2. BanWings of Freedom remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
JiJieHao 47%Wings of Freedom 53%
The model gave 53% on Wings of Freedom — the map was taken by Wings of Freedom.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
JiJieHao 63%Wings of Freedom 37%
The model gave 63% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
JiJieHao 50%Wings of Freedom 50%
The model gave 50% on JiJieHao — the map was taken by JiJieHao.
Model check result
Model favoriteJiJieHao · 76%
Series resultJiJieHao 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3