BLAST Rivals 2026 Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
FUT#6 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Astralis#12 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FUT pick
60%40%
FUT · 1 mapedge FUT +20%Astralis · 1 map
MirageAstralis ban
40%50%
FUT · 1 mapedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 0 maps
NukeAstralis pick
40%50%
FUT · 1 mapedge Astralis +10%Astralis · 0 maps
OverpassFUT ban
50%40%
FUT · 0 mapsedge FUT +10%Astralis · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFUT remove Overpass
2. BanAstralis remove Mirage
3. PickFUT take Dust2
4. PickAstralis take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
FUT 43%Astralis 57%
The model gave 57% on Astralis — the map was taken by Astralis.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
FUT 37%Astralis 63%
The model gave 63% on Astralis — the map was taken by Astralis.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 52%
Series resultAstralis 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2