PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
1win#38 in the world · win 13:3series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 13:3
GenOne#55 in the world · loss 3:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
57%64%
1win · 19 mapsedge GenOne +7%GenOne · 38 maps
AncientGenOne ban
60%57%
1win · 16 mapsnearly even +3%GenOne · 24 maps
Anubis1win ban
33%75%
1win · 11 mapsedge GenOne +42%GenOne · 12 maps
Inferno1win ban
63%50%
1win · 4 mapsedge 1win +13%GenOne · 16 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%50%
1win · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 18 maps
CacheGenOne ban
58%40%
1win · 8 mapsedge 1win +18%GenOne · 6 maps
MirageGenOne ban
57%50%
1win · 10 mapsedge 1win +7%GenOne · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. Ban1win remove Anubis
4. BanGenOne remove Cache
5. Ban1win remove Inferno
6. BanGenOne remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (57% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
1win 42%GenOne 58%
The model gave 58% on GenOne — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 64%
Series result1win 13:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1