PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
BBL#62 in the world · win 13:11series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 13:11
UPGRADE#101 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisBBL ban
50%60%
BBL · 0 mapsedge UPGRADE +10%UPGRADE · 6 maps
Dust2BBL ban
50%44%
BBL · 0 mapsedge BBL +6%UPGRADE · 5 maps
NukeUPGRADE ban
40%38%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even +2%UPGRADE · 4 maps
AncientBBL ban
40%50%
BBL · 1 mapedge UPGRADE +10%UPGRADE · 2 maps
InfernoUPGRADE ban
50%60%
BBL · 2 mapsedge UPGRADE +10%UPGRADE · 1 map
CacheUPGRADE ban
40%40%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even +0%UPGRADE · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
BBL · 1 mapnearly even +0%UPGRADE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanUPGRADE remove Cache
3. BanBBL remove Anubis
4. BanUPGRADE remove Inferno
5. BanBBL remove Ancient
6. BanUPGRADE remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
BBL 50%UPGRADE 50%
The model gave 50% on BBL — the map was taken by BBL.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 64%
Series resultBBL 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1