CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
STATE#142 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BRUTE#217 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBRUTE ban
43%50%
STATE · 3 mapsedge BRUTE +7%BRUTE · 0 maps
InfernoSTATE ban
40%33%
STATE · 1 mapedge STATE +7%BRUTE · 2 maps
OverpassBRUTE pick
50%60%
STATE · 2 mapsedge BRUTE +10%BRUTE · 1 map
Dust2STATE ban
50%50%
STATE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BRUTE · 2 maps
MirageSTATE pick
60%40%
STATE · 1 mapedge STATE +20%BRUTE · 1 map
NukeBRUTE ban
67%50%
STATE · 2 mapsedge STATE +17%BRUTE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSTATE remove Dust2
2. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
3. PickSTATE take Mirage
4. PickBRUTE take Overpass
5. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
6. BanSTATE remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
STATE 60%BRUTE 40%
The model gave 60% on STATE — the map was taken by STATE.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
STATE 47%BRUTE 53%
The model gave 53% on BRUTE — the map was taken by STATE.
Model check result
Model favoriteSTATE · 62%
Series resultSTATE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2