ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
RBLS#132 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:5
RBLS 47%aAa 53%
The model gave 53% on aAa — the map was taken by RBLS.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
RBLS 53%aAa 47%
The model gave 53% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 59%
Series resultRBLS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2