Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
InControl#154 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2InControl ban
40%50%
InControl · 1 mapedge girl kissers +10%girl kissers · 0 maps
InfernoInControl pick
40%50%
InControl · 1 mapedge girl kissers +10%girl kissers · 0 maps
Nukegirl kissers ban
60%50%
InControl · 1 mapedge InControl +10%girl kissers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanInControl remove Dust2
2. Bangirl kissers remove Nuke
3. PickInControl take Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
InControl 57%girl kissers 43%
The model gave 57% on InControl — the map was taken by InControl.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
InControl 53%girl kissers 47%
The model gave 53% on InControl — the map was taken by InControl.
Model check result
Model favoriteInControl · 65%
Series resultInControl 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2