NODWIN Clutch Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG#24 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBIG pick
50%60%
BIG · 2 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 1 map
MirageNemiga ban
67%40%
BIG · 2 mapsedge BIG +27%Nemiga · 1 map
AnubisNemiga pick
40%50%
BIG · 1 mapedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 0 maps
OverpassBIG ban
50%60%
BIG · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Overpass
2. BanNemiga remove Mirage
3. PickBIG take Ancient
4. PickNemiga take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:16
BIG 37%Nemiga 63%
The model gave 63% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction missed2:13
BIG 77%Nemiga 23%
The model gave 77% on BIG — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG · 65%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2