PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Isurus#114 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Isurus pick
65%50%
Isurus · 13 mapsedge Isurus +15%wachoskys · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
53%50%
Isurus · 13 mapsnearly even +3%wachoskys · 0 maps
Nukewachoskys pick
38%50%
Isurus · 9 mapsedge wachoskys +12%wachoskys · 0 maps
MirageIsurus ban
50%50%
Isurus · 8 mapsnearly even +0%wachoskys · 0 maps
AncientIsurus ban
27%50%
Isurus · 7 mapsedge wachoskys +23%wachoskys · 0 maps
Cachewachoskys ban
60%50%
Isurus · 6 mapsedge Isurus +10%wachoskys · 0 maps
Defaultwachoskys ban
67%50%
Isurus · 2 mapsedge Isurus +17%wachoskys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanIsurus remove Ancient
2. Banwachoskys remove Default
3. PickIsurus take Dust2
4. Pickwachoskys take Nuke
5. Banwachoskys remove Cache
6. BanIsurus remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Isurus 25%wachoskys 75%
The model gave 75% on wachoskys — the map was taken by Isurus.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Isurus 67%wachoskys 33%
The model gave 67% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 68%
Series resultIsurus 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2