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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Back to Backwin 2:0
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bounty Hunters#109 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBack to Back pick
50%50%
Back to Back · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Bounty Hunters · 14 maps
CacheBounty Hunters pick
50%53%
Back to Back · 0 mapsnearly even -3%Bounty Hunters · 13 maps
NukeBack to Back ban
40%60%
Back to Back · 1 mapedge Bounty Hunters +20%Bounty Hunters · 11 maps
AncientBounty Hunters ban
50%31%
Back to Back · 0 mapsedge Back to Back +19%Bounty Hunters · 9 maps
Dust2Bounty Hunters ban
60%45%
Back to Back · 1 mapedge Back to Back +15%Bounty Hunters · 7 maps
AnubisBack to Back ban
50%57%
Back to Back · 0 mapsedge Bounty Hunters +7%Bounty Hunters · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%40%
Back to Back · 0 mapsedge Back to Back +10%Bounty Hunters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBack to Back remove Anubis
2. BanBounty Hunters remove Dust2
3. PickBack to Back take Mirage
4. PickBounty Hunters take Cache
5. BanBounty Hunters remove Ancient
6. BanBack to Back remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Back to Back 28%Bounty Hunters 72%
The model gave 72% on Bounty Hunters — the map was taken by Back to Back.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
Back to Back 67%Bounty Hunters 33%
The model gave 67% on Back to Back — the map was taken by Back to Back.
Model check result
Model favoriteBounty Hunters · 67%
Series resultBack to Back 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2