ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemesis#43 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
Nemesis 47%Hashiras 53%
The model gave 53% on Hashiras — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Nemesis 53%Hashiras 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemesis — the map was taken by Nemesis.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemesis · 74%
Series resultNemesis 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2