CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
52%64%
Just Players · 27 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 18 maps
Dust2G2 Ares pick
39%50%
Just Players · 19 mapsedge G2 Ares +11%G2 Ares · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%44%
Just Players · 19 mapsedge Just Players +13%G2 Ares · 12 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
50%52%
Just Players · 0 mapsnearly even -2%G2 Ares · 17 maps
OverpassJust Players ban
56%43%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Just Players +13%G2 Ares · 10 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
47%50%
Just Players · 11 mapsnearly even -3%G2 Ares · 0 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
75%50%
Just Players · 4 mapsedge Just Players +25%G2 Ares · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Inferno
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickG2 Ares take Dust2
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. BanJust Players remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (57% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Just Players 36%G2 Ares 64%
The model gave 64% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by Just Players.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Just Players 41%G2 Ares 59%
The model gave 59% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 57%
Series resultJust Players 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2