StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeShindeN ban
30%46%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge Galorys +16%Galorys · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%50%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge ShindeN +10%Galorys · 8 maps
OverpassShindeN pick
75%50%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge ShindeN +25%Galorys · 10 maps
MirageShindeN ban
56%67%
ShindeN · 5 mapsedge Galorys +11%Galorys · 5 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
60%50%
ShindeN · 1 mapedge ShindeN +10%Galorys · 8 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
67%50%
ShindeN · 5 mapsedge ShindeN +17%Galorys · 0 maps
CacheGalorys pick
33%50%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge Galorys +17%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Nuke
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickShindeN take Overpass
4. PickGalorys take Cache
5. BanGalorys remove Dust2
6. BanShindeN remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
ShindeN 57%Galorys 43%
The model gave 57% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
ShindeN 69%Galorys 31%
The model gave 69% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 50%
Series resultShindeN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2