Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageUNiTY ban
46%43%
Entropy · 24 mapsnearly even +3%UNiTY · 10 maps
AncientUNiTY pick
53%54%
Entropy · 15 mapsnearly even -1%UNiTY · 9 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
27%38%
Entropy · 11 mapsedge UNiTY +11%UNiTY · 9 maps
AnubisUNiTY ban
53%40%
Entropy · 11 mapsedge Entropy +13%UNiTY · 6 maps
CacheEntropy pick
53%60%
Entropy · 11 mapsedge UNiTY +7%UNiTY · 1 map
InfernoEntropy ban
44%57%
Entropy · 5 mapsedge UNiTY +13%UNiTY · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
56%60%
Entropy · 5 mapsnearly even -4%UNiTY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanUNiTY remove Anubis
3. PickEntropy take Cache
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Mirage
6. BanEntropy remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (56% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
Entropy 35%UNiTY 65%
The model gave 65% on UNiTY — the map was taken by Entropy.
Cacheprediction missed13:8
Entropy 46%UNiTY 54%
The model gave 54% on UNiTY — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 50%
Series resultEntropy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2