CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
los kogutos#123 in the world · win 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2los kogutos ban
25%44%
los kogutos · 4 mapsedge ex-MANA +19%ex-MANA · 12 maps
Ancientlos kogutos pick
56%40%
los kogutos · 5 mapsedge los kogutos +16%ex-MANA · 6 maps
Mirageex-MANA pick
44%71%
los kogutos · 5 mapsedge ex-MANA +27%ex-MANA · 3 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
57%50%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge los kogutos +7%ex-MANA · 2 maps
Anubislos kogutos ban
40%33%
los kogutos · 1 mapedge los kogutos +7%ex-MANA · 2 maps
Cacheex-MANA ban
29%50%
los kogutos · 3 mapsedge ex-MANA +21%ex-MANA · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%40%
los kogutos · 1 mapnearly even +0%ex-MANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banlos kogutos remove Dust2
2. Banex-MANA remove Cache
3. Picklos kogutos take Ancient
4. Pickex-MANA take Mirage
5. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
6. Banlos kogutos remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
los kogutos 28%ex-MANA 72%
The model gave 72% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
los kogutos 60%ex-MANA 40%
The model gave 60% on los kogutos — the map was taken by los kogutos.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-MANA · 54%
Series resultlos kogutos 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2