StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
regain#199 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Voca pick
64%57%
Voca · 7 mapsedge Voca +7%regain · 3 maps
Ancientregain pick
57%60%
Voca · 3 mapsnearly even -3%regain · 6 maps
Mirageregain ban
63%56%
Voca · 4 mapsedge Voca +7%regain · 5 maps
Overpassregain ban
57%40%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Voca +17%regain · 1 map
InfernoVoca ban
50%43%
Voca · 0 mapsedge Voca +7%regain · 3 maps
AnubisVoca ban
40%60%
Voca · 1 mapedge regain +20%regain · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
40%60%
Voca · 1 mapedge regain +20%regain · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. Banregain remove Overpass
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. Pickregain take Ancient
5. Banregain remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Anubis
DeciderCache (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Voca 54%regain 46%
The model gave 54% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Voca 60%regain 40%
The model gave 60% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 61%
Series resultVoca 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2