StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
BESTIA#65 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Imperial#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
67%53%
BESTIA · 8 mapsedge BESTIA +14%Imperial · 11 maps
MirageImperial pick
71%61%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +10%Imperial · 14 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
43%69%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge Imperial +26%Imperial · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%73%
BESTIA · 4 mapsedge Imperial +23%Imperial · 7 maps
CacheImperial ban
50%56%
BESTIA · 2 mapsedge Imperial +6%Imperial · 5 maps
AnubisBESTIA ban
50%56%
BESTIA · 0 mapsedge Imperial +6%Imperial · 5 maps
AncientImperial ban
57%50%
BESTIA · 3 mapsedge BESTIA +7%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBESTIA remove Anubis
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickBESTIA take Dust2
4. PickImperial take Mirage
5. BanImperial remove Cache
6. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
BESTIA 23%Imperial 77%
The model gave 77% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
BESTIA 66%Imperial 34%
The model gave 66% on BESTIA — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 65%
Series resultImperial 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2