ESL Challenger League Season 51 South America Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#85 in the world · win 2:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Procyon#175 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
ShindeN 47%Procyon 53%
The model gave 53% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
ShindeN 53%Procyon 47%
The model gave 53% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
ShindeN 50%Procyon 50%
The model gave 50% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 80%
Series resultShindeN 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3