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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 North America · BO3
result vs prediction
FarmVille#181 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OverKnight#262 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:6
FarmVille 53%OverKnight 47%
The model gave 53% on FarmVille — the map was taken by FarmVille.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
FarmVille 50%OverKnight 50%
The model gave 50% on FarmVille — the map was taken by FarmVille.
Model check result
Model favoriteFarmVille · 60%
Series resultFarmVille 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2