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XP Game Fest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FromPRloss 1:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
UNiTY#102 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
FromPR 53%UNiTY 47%
The model gave 53% on FromPR — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
FromPR 47%UNiTY 53%
The model gave 53% on UNiTY — the map was taken by FromPR.
Infernoprediction missed2:13
FromPR 50%UNiTY 50%
The model gave 50% on FromPR — the map was taken by UNiTY.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 63%
Series resultUNiTY 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3