ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Misa#124 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 47%Misa 53%
The model gave 53% on Misa — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 53%Misa 47%
The model gave 53% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by Misa.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 50%Misa 50%
The model gave 50% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE Prospects · 60%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3