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XP Game Fest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Lilmix#204 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
ENCE 47%Lilmix 53%
The model gave 53% on Lilmix — the map was taken by ENCE.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
ENCE 53%Lilmix 47%
The model gave 53% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteENCE · 59%
Series resultENCE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2