NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
BRUTE#74 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Ares#130 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BRUTE pick
57%39%
BRUTE · 17 mapsedge BRUTE +18%G2 Ares · 19 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%46%
BRUTE · 5 mapsedge BRUTE +10%G2 Ares · 20 maps
InfernoG2 Ares pick
67%50%
BRUTE · 2 mapsedge BRUTE +17%G2 Ares · 22 maps
AnubisBRUTE ban
46%45%
BRUTE · 9 mapsnearly even +1%G2 Ares · 7 maps
CacheG2 Ares ban
42%40%
BRUTE · 8 mapsnearly even +2%G2 Ares · 6 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
50%53%
BRUTE · 0 mapsnearly even -3%G2 Ares · 11 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
58%50%
BRUTE · 8 mapsedge BRUTE +8%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickBRUTE take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Inferno
5. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
6. BanBRUTE remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (56% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
BRUTE 44%G2 Ares 56%
The model gave 56% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
BRUTE 55%G2 Ares 45%
The model gave 55% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
BRUTE 60%G2 Ares 40%
The model gave 60% on BRUTE — the map was taken by BRUTE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBRUTE · 58%
Series resultBRUTE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3