NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
48%69%
INOX Division · 17 mapsedge SPARTA +21%SPARTA · 38 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
58%45%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +13%SPARTA · 18 maps
InfernoINOX Division pick
63%50%
INOX Division · 28 mapsedge INOX Division +13%SPARTA · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
68%50%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge INOX Division +18%SPARTA · 16 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
41%53%
INOX Division · 13 mapsedge SPARTA +12%SPARTA · 13 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%50%
INOX Division · 0 mapsnearly even +0%SPARTA · 22 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
67%43%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +24%SPARTA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickSPARTA take Dust2
5. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
6. BanINOX Division remove Cache
DeciderNuke (68% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
INOX Division 27%SPARTA 73%
The model gave 73% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Infernoprediction missed12:16
INOX Division 65%SPARTA 35%
The model gave 65% on INOX Division — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 77%
Series resultSPARTA 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2