NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#130 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoINOX Division pick
62%58%
INOX Division · 30 mapsnearly even +4%G2 Ares · 27 maps
Dust2possible decider
45%40%
INOX Division · 18 mapsedge INOX Division +5%G2 Ares · 21 map
AncientG2 Ares pick
58%53%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +5%G2 Ares · 15 maps
CacheG2 Ares ban
42%33%
INOX Division · 15 mapsedge INOX Division +9%G2 Ares · 11 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%43%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +7%G2 Ares · 24 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
65%50%
INOX Division · 22 mapsedge INOX Division +15%G2 Ares · 0 maps
AnubisINOX Division ban
67%50%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge INOX Division +17%G2 Ares · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. PickINOX Division take Inferno
4. PickG2 Ares take Ancient
5. BanG2 Ares remove Cache
6. BanINOX Division remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (45% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
INOX Division 52%G2 Ares 48%
The model gave 52% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
INOX Division 58%G2 Ares 42%
The model gave 58% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 69%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2