NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
INOX Division#66 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
52%59%
Nemiga · 21 mapedge INOX Division +7%INOX Division · 23 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
60%46%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +14%INOX Division · 20 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
63%63%
Nemiga · 12 mapsnearly even +0%INOX Division · 23 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
60%62%
Nemiga · 1 mapnearly even -2%INOX Division · 30 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
64%42%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge Nemiga +22%INOX Division · 15 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
72%67%
Nemiga · 14 mapsedge Nemiga +5%INOX Division · 8 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
78%50%
Nemiga · 14 mapsedge Nemiga +28%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickINOX Division take Nuke
5. BanINOX Division remove Cache
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (52% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Nemiga 47%INOX Division 53%
The model gave 53% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
Nemiga 46%INOX Division 54%
The model gave 54% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 73%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2