NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Walczaki#149 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
BET-M#65 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBET-M pick
31%65%
Walczaki · 9 mapsedge BET-M +34%BET-M · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
36%53%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge BET-M +17%BET-M · 15 maps
AncientBET-M ban
57%33%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge Walczaki +24%BET-M · 14 maps
AnubisWalczaki pick
54%55%
Walczaki · 9 mapsnearly even -1%BET-M · 7 maps
MirageWalczaki ban
43%56%
Walczaki · 3 mapsedge BET-M +13%BET-M · 12 maps
Dust2Walczaki ban
40%41%
Walczaki · 1 mapnearly even -1%BET-M · 13 maps
CacheBET-M ban
36%50%
Walczaki · 7 mapsedge BET-M +14%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWalczaki remove Dust2
2. BanBET-M remove Cache
3. PickWalczaki take Anubis
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Ancient
6. BanWalczaki remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (36% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Walczaki 50%BET-M 50%
The model gave 50% on Walczaki — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteBET-M · 50%
Series resultBET-M 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1