XP Game Fest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
MANA#86 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct6:13
MANA 47%The Last Resort 53%
The model gave 53% on The Last Resort — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
MANA 53%The Last Resort 47%
The model gave 53% on MANA — the map was taken by MANA.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
MANA 50%The Last Resort 50%
The model gave 50% on MANA — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteMANA · 58%
Series resultThe Last Resort 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3