XP Game Fest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
AaB#69 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed12:16
BASEMENT BOYS 53%AaB 47%
The model gave 53% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by AaB.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
BASEMENT BOYS 47%AaB 53%
The model gave 53% on AaB — the map was taken by AaB.
Model check result
Model favoriteAaB · 58%
Series resultAaB 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2