CCT Global Finals 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Monte#23 in the world · win 2:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientMonte pick
50%60%
Monte · 0 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +10%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
AnubisMonte ban
50%60%
Monte · 0 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +10%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
MirageNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%40%
Monte · 0 mapsedge Monte +10%Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMonte remove Anubis
2. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Mirage
3. PickMonte take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
Monte 47%Ninjas in Pyjamas 53%
The model gave 53% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Monte 53%Ninjas in Pyjamas 47%
The model gave 53% on Monte — the map was taken by Monte.
Anubisprediction missed13:2
Monte 40%Ninjas in Pyjamas 60%
The model gave 60% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Monte.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonte · 57%
Series resultMonte 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3