NODWIN Clutch Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BIG#24 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SPARTA#89 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBIG pick
40%50%
BIG · 1 mapedge SPARTA +10%SPARTA · 0 maps
AnubisBIG ban
40%50%
BIG · 1 mapedge SPARTA +10%SPARTA · 0 maps
MirageSPARTA ban
60%50%
BIG · 1 mapedge BIG +10%SPARTA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBIG remove Anubis
2. BanSPARTA remove Mirage
3. PickBIG take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
BIG 57%SPARTA 43%
The model gave 57% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Ancientprediction missed19:17
BIG 43%SPARTA 57%
The model gave 57% on SPARTA — the map was taken by BIG.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG · 73%
Series resultBIG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2