Gamebox Festival 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
STATE#142 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Sashi Academy#169 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
STATE 47%Sashi Academy 53%
The model gave 53% on Sashi Academy — the map was taken by Sashi Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
STATE 53%Sashi Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on STATE — the map was taken by STATE.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
STATE 50%Sashi Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on STATE — the map was taken by STATE.
Model check result
Model favoriteSTATE · 54%
Series resultSTATE 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3