StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
MIBR#12 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Fluxo#56 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
50%59%
MIBR · 4 mapsedge Fluxo +9%Fluxo · 13 maps
MirageMIBR ban
50%70%
MIBR · 8 mapsedge Fluxo +20%Fluxo · 6 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
50%60%
MIBR · 0 mapsedge Fluxo +10%Fluxo · 11 maps
AnubisMIBR pick
71%50%
MIBR · 3 mapsedge MIBR +21%Fluxo · 6 maps
InfernoFluxo ban
38%44%
MIBR · 4 mapsedge Fluxo +6%Fluxo · 5 maps
AncientFluxo ban
40%33%
MIBR · 6 mapsedge MIBR +7%Fluxo · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%50%
MIBR · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanMIBR remove Dust2
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickMIBR take Anubis
4. PickFluxo take Nuke
5. BanFluxo remove Inferno
6. BanMIBR remove Mirage
DeciderCache (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
MIBR 38%Fluxo 62%
The model gave 62% on Fluxo — the map was taken by MIBR.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
MIBR 46%Fluxo 54%
The model gave 54% on Fluxo — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 68%
Series resultMIBR 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2