PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BET-M#83 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BET-M ban
67%38%
B8 · 8 mapsedge B8 +29%BET-M · 12 maps
AncientB8 pick
50%18%
B8 · 10 mapsedge B8 +32%BET-M · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
31%50%
B8 · 9 mapsedge BET-M +19%BET-M · 8 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
56%60%
B8 · 5 mapsnearly even -4%BET-M · 11 maps
NukeB8 ban
60%57%
B8 · 1 mapnearly even +3%BET-M · 10 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%60%
B8 · 0 mapsedge BET-M +10%BET-M · 6 maps
CacheBET-M ban
67%50%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +17%BET-M · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanBET-M remove Cache
3. PickB8 take Ancient
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (31% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
B8 50%BET-M 50%
The model gave 50% on BET-M — the map was taken by B8.
Ancientprediction correct13:5
B8 84%BET-M 16%
The model gave 84% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 82%
Series resultB8 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2